UFC 236 takes place Saturday night in Atlanta, and you’ll be able to watch the five-fight main card reside on ESPN+. The card is ripe with fascinating fights throughout the night, however, the majority of fans will likely be most-interested in the event’s closing two conflicts for its interim middleweight and lightweight names.
We already have you covered with in-depth gambling analysis on the primary and co-main event…
Max Holloway & Dustin Poirier Rematch for Lightweight Gold
Can Kelvin Gastelum Steal Israel Adesanya’s Spotlight?
… but that does not mean we can’t learn a thing or two about the night’s extra 11 struggles!
What follows is a brief breakdown on every matchup at UFC 236 in a bid to discover enough about each fighter to make a more educated bet on these if your heart desires.
Interim Lightweight Title Fight: Max Holloway (-205) vs. Dustin Poirier (+165)
Poirier was on a war path since returning to light-weight April, 2015. In general, he’s won eight of the last 10 battles and suffered only 1 loss (KO to Michael Johnson) along with one no contest in his first battle against Eddie Alvarez. Poirier ranks first among busy UFC lightweights in striking differential per minute at +2.69.
The two Poirier (7.11 strikes per minute) and Holloway (6.9) ranking among the top-five highest-volume strikers from the total UFC. Holloway’s volume is like an avalanche that becomes more-and-more overwhelming as the battle continues.
Holloway’s last fight was arguably the finest championship functionality in UFC history. In general, his 290 considerable strikes at a fight broke the UFC championship album.
Holloway started the week as a -230 favorite, but activity has arrived in greatly on Poirier ever since.
Interim Middleweight Title Fight: Kelvin Gastelum (+150) vs. Israel Adesanya (-185)
Gastelum managed to record a minumum of one knockdown against former winners Jacare Souza, Michael Bisping, Chris Weidman and Vitor Belfort during his hellacious run during the middleweight division. His constant barrages of one-two combinations have been difficult for practically all of his opponents do deal with throughout his career.
Israel’The previous Stylebender’ Adesanya is a former Glory Kickboxing champion who has rung up a 16-0 record to begin his own mixed martial arts career. He won’t want anything related to Gastelum — a country championship wrestler in high school — on the ground, but we’ve yet to see someone come close to out-classing Adesanya on the feet throughout his five UFC wins.
Adesanya opened the week as a -175 favorite, but has since transferred to -185 behind the public’s support.
Light Heavyweight Fight: Eryk Anders (-200) vs. Khalil Rountree (+160)
Anders played linebacker under Nick Saban at Alabama from 2006-2009 before beginning his mixed martial arts career. These three of Anders’ career losses have come in his last four fights, but those were two split-decision losses along with a single TKO loss via referee stoppage during his short-notice light heavyweight debut against Thiago Santos, who’ll fight Jon Jones for the division’s championship in July.
Rountree listed the biggest success of his career at UFC 226 against long-time championship kickboxer Gokhan Saki, but was pumped out by increasing contender Johnny Walker last November. Rountree’s career striking differential of -0.99 has made it tough for him to win conflicts by any way aside from a finish, and he has accordingly lost both of his career UFC fights who have made it beyond the first round.
Welterweight Fight: Alan Jouban (-120) vs. Dwight Grant (-110)
Jouban will probably be giving up a five-inch advantage advantage to Grant. This is uncharted territory for Jouban during his 11-fight UFC profession, but he is 3-1 in fights with a reach benefit of at least three inches. Meanwhile, the Grant is 1-1 in the UFC with a success over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (75-inch reach) plus a split-decision reduction to Zak Ottow (72-inch reach).
The x-factor in this fight might wind up being quantity. Jouban finds himself among the top-10 welterweights in UFC history in knockdowns landed (No. 4), significant strike precision (No. 7), strikes landed per second (No. 3) and striking differential (No. 4).
Light Heavyweight Fight: Ovince Saint Preux (-110) vs. Nikita Krylov (-120)
Krylov has literally had a fight go to the judges in 30 livelihood MMA fights. Including 10 fights inside the Octagon, that were featured three wins by TKO/KO and three by submission compared to three declines by submission and one by TKO.
This is in fact a rematch from UFC 171, when OSP defeated Krylov by first-round entry. The end featured Saint Preux’s signature entry: The Von Flue choke.
UFC 236 Prelims
Lightweight Fight: Jalin Turner (-140) vs. Matt Frevola (+110)
Turner boasts massive height (6-foot-3 vs. 5-foot-9) and attain (77 inches vs. 71) advantages over Frevola, although that advantage could be mitigated if the latter fighter is able to instigate his takedown-heavy assault. Turner was last seen starching Callan Potter in only 53 seconds back at UFC 234 in February.
Flyweight Fight: Wilson Reis (+130) vs. Alexandre Pantoja (-160)
Reis is presently the UFC’s No. 4 ranked flyweight ahead of his bout with fifth-ranked Alexandre Pantoja. Although Reis has dropped three of his past four fights, they’ve come against a high-level competitors like John Moraga, present flyweight champion Henry Cejudo and former champion Demetrious Johnson. Both Reis (12:08) and Pantoja (11:58) have typical combat times that could indicate we’ll see this fight last into the third round.
Welterweight Fight: Max Griffin (-105) vs. Zelim Imadaev (-125)
Imadaev opened the week with -115 odds. Public assistance has come in on the undefeated Russian, who has won eight of his struggles by TKO or KO. He is making his debut within the octagon against Max Griffin, who has dropped four of his last six fights dating back to August, 2016. There’s a little bad blood , as Griffin sparred with Imadaev once upon a time and had this to say about his opponent…
«He’s an ass, man. He’s not a fantastic guy… I really don’t like the man… I am excited about showing him what it’s like.»
Bantamweight Fight: Boston Salmon (-150) vs. Khalid Taha (+120)
Boston’Boom Boom’ Salmon has only lost once in seven career conflicts (by split-decision). Salmon won his last fight against Ricky Turcios on the debut episode of Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. He will maintain a four-inch height advantage of Taha, who has lost two of his last 3 fights. Backing Salmon in his ancient -135 odds was one of my favourite stakes on the card, but he still offers a little bit of worth at his present -150 chances.
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UFC 236 Historical Prelims
Welterweight Fight: Curtis Millender (+115) vs. Belal Muhammad (-145)
Millender fought only last month at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos, ultimately losing by submission (rear-naked choke) into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Muhammad has also been busy, as he suffered a unanimous decision loss to Geoff Neal back in January in UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw. Millender boasts four and three inch height and reach advantages, respectively, although Muhammad has been a lot more of a takedown threat throughout his UFC career.
Bantamweight Fight: Montel Jackson (-550) vs. Andre Soukhamthath (+375)
Jackson started the week as a -500 favorite, but has since moved higher. He’s the biggest favorite on the card. Soukhamthath is 13-6 as a professional and is being fed to Jackson, who has dropped just once in eight career bouts.
Women Strawweight Fight: Lauren Mueller (+145) vs. Poliana Botelho (-175)
Both these girls have high striking prices and don’t waste their time getting started. This is particularly true for Botelho, who notched the third-fastest finish in the history of the UFC women’s division back in May, 2018.
Bantamweight Fight: Brandon Davis (-170) vs. Randy Costa (+140)
Costa is undefeated in four professional fights, while Davis is only 9-5. Both fighters are making a debut of sorts, as Costa will probably be within the octagon for the first time in his career, while Davis has seemingly never fought 135 lbs.
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