At 29 years of age Martin is coming into his prime. Undefeated at Welterweight he’s showing huge improvements in both skill and fight IQ. Martin is a BJJ Blackbelt but it is his striking that’s shining recently showing fantastic motion and a long troublesome jab. Maia is almost 42 years old but still remains dangerous. On the floor his control and submission arsenal is unmatched. He’s taken considerable harm in late fights in which his inability to acquire takedowns leaves him a sitting duck. With no realistic title shot on the horizon you have to question his motivation going forward.
Stylistically this is a fight Maia should win, but with all the athletic and striking advantages in Martins favour the result is much nearer than the line indicates. Maia will require early takedowns and maybe a finish in around one. Martin must make this difficult and if he is trapped, has got the BJJ to survive the submission attacks. Into around two will probably be where Martin will take over as it’s no key Maia slows considerably. This Is a Great spot to take the hungry young fighter in dogs odds.Drew Dober Breakdown
Dober comes into this matchup off a loss, but fought well and is showing a lot of improvements struggle to fight. He’s developed his capability to compliment his quite accurate striking style. Another aspect to his sport is his wrestling, which he seems to mix into his offence more often. No world beater, but a well rounded fighter with a solid chin means Dober matches up well with other reduced level fighters.
Polo Reyes is 34 years of age and his durability is presently a massive question mark. Two of his last 3 fights have finished in a bad TKO loss. He yells serious power but is not well rounded, as vulnerable by Had??ovi?? who dominated him around the ground before pounding him out. Basically all the skill benefits are with Dober departing Reyes with few avenues to victory other than a punchers chance. The Cost is steep but that this fight should be a straight forward success for Dober
Bet = Dober at 1.31 (-325) odds. Risk 5 Components to win 1.55 Units.
Vinc Pichel Breakdown
This is a classic large favourite prospect carrying a step upward snare. Roberts has a great deal of hype but has neglected to ignite up to now against some lacklustre competition. There are a number of obvious holes in his game where he is backed up readily and holds his chin high. Pitchel is coming back after a second layoff and in 36 there’s a chance he might look skinnier. He’s got big power and are going to want to force a brawl where his durability and durability can shine.
This should be a competitive match where we cannot overlook the chances on Pichel. Roberts has potential but has not revealed anything yet to warrant such a price . Start looking for the veteran to induce striking trades and property some power shots. A KO is potential or close decision too probably.
Bet = Pichel at 3.50 (+250) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 5.0 Units.
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